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中国紧张的养老金制度正面临在10年内耗尽资金的风险,近期又迎来新威胁,中国国内开始出现愈来愈多年轻人拒缴,在经济已经受到通货紧缩风险,以及看不到尽头的房地产危机冲击下,养老金制度崩溃的潜在可能,成为中国面临的下一个严峻挑战。 中国再过七年将进入老龄化第三个阶段,现在进入第三个阶段的国家只有日本、德国等共不到二十个国家,现在我们应该未雨绸缪。 新生儿数量急剧减少、老龄化快速到来和年轻劳动力日益紧张正在对中国庞大的社保基金体系构成严峻的挑战。
按照世界银行提出的多支柱养老保障模型,理想的养老体系应实现国家、企业、个人和家庭等多元主体的协调发展。 然而,我国目前在第一支柱发展较快的同时,第二支柱和第三支柱发展滞后,第四支柱则因家庭结构变迁而逐渐弱化。
世代 公共政策 中国养老金危机:20年后耗尽? 年轻人还能“老有所依”吗? |数洞 80后、90后面临的将是养老危机恶化的未来。 2025年3月12日,中国首款大型养老护理机器人“小曦”在浙江省杭州市的一家养老院与老人互动。 摄:Wu Junyi/China News Service/VCG via Getty. <p>综上所述,<strong>不能简单地认为中国未来的养老金会崩盘</strong>。 虽然养老金制度面临着一些挑战和压力,但政府已经采取了一系列措施来应对,并不断完善相关制度。 从1985年的全靠政府养老,到2000年前后的政府帮养老、到现在政府全面放开,要求我们自己开始养老。 婚姻、生育观念的不断更新和演化,少生甚至不生,也让以后靠子女养老、房子养老等方式,没有存在可能。
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